Declining Caseloads

I suppose one of the corollaries of the improvement in the jobs market and the record number of people in employment is the number of referrals from job centres has sharply fallen. What is the experience from other parts of the country. I work in outer London and we have seen massive reductions in our caseloads - while it is great to see so many customers in work - the low number of new referrals must surely be causing contract managers to review headcount. Anyone facing this situation ? This, of course, is a different scenario to the one the sector faced when the Work Programme was launched as the economy at that time was still contracting and headline unemployment was rising. As we move towards a general election and the (remote) possibility of a new government replacing the WP creating uncertainty are other providers downsizing yet ?